The Swedish government has issued a warning over a potential shortage of aviation fuel, citing disruptions in global supply chains linked to the conflict in the Middle East and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Energy Minister Ebba Busch said the warning is based on an assessment by the Swedish Energy Agency, stressing the need for early preparedness.
“We want to give an early warning that there is a risk of a shortage of aviation fuel,” Busch said during a press conference.
She added that even if a lasting peace agreement between the United States and Iran were reached soon, it could still take time for oil and gas supplies to stabilise.
Global energy concerns and aviation impact
The warning comes amid broader concerns over global energy stability, although there is currently no systemic shortage of jet fuel in the European Union.
However, officials noted that around 20% of jet fuel used in the EU typically passes through the Strait of Hormuz, a key maritime route affected by regional tensions.
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson said Sweden is less exposed than many countries due to its reliance on nuclear, hydroelectric and renewable energy sources. Still, he warned that the country could be affected if the conflict escalates or continues over a prolonged period.
Energy Agency Director Caroline Asserup said the situation for aviation fuel is no longer normal, despite no current disruptions in deliveries. “We have not seen delivery disruptions,” she said, but warned that price fluctuations are affecting market stability. She noted that some airlines may cancel flights for commercial reasons due to changing fuel prices.
The fuel warning highlights how volatility in global energy markets can indirectly impact aviation operations.
Sweden and other Nordic countries have relatively strong refining capacity, largely supported by North Sea oil. However, increased demand for North Sea crude has contributed to higher prices, adding further pressure on fuel markets.
Officials said continued instability in global supply routes could further influence pricing and availability in the coming months.
Also read: How does the Iran war threaten subsea cables?
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