Three years after its onset, the war in Ukraine has evolved from a regional conflict into a global confrontation involving dozens of countries. Initially a Russian invasion, it has now become a battleground for nations supporting either Ukraine or Russia, with major powers such as the US, the EU, China, and North Korea directly or indirectly involved. Politico published an article titled, “World War III Is Already Underway in Ukraine.”
Internationalisation of the conflict
Ukraine, relying on military and economic aid from the West, is fighting for its survival and territorial integrity. Meanwhile, Russia has sought backing from countries like China, Iran, and North Korea. This has resulted in a globalised conflict, with advanced technology and military resources from around the world being deployed.
Role of major powers
China has emerged as a key economic supporter of Russia, while NATO has financed and armed Ukraine. However, Western support is beginning to wane due to political shifts, such as Donald Trump’s election in the US, and resource exhaustion. At the same time, Russia relies on traditional allies and recruits foreign fighters to bolster its ranks.
Attrition and uncertainty
Both sides are in a phase of attrition, grappling with shortages of troops and equipment. The presence of numerous foreign fighters on the battlefield highlights the difficulty both parties face in mobilising national resources. Ukraine is entirely dependent on Western support, while Russia leans heavily on backing from China and North Korea.
Risks and the future
The conflict remains uncontrolled, with the risk of escalation always present. The possibility of new countries joining the war or unforeseen factors, such as instability in the Middle East or the conflict spreading to the Indo-Pacific region, increases uncertainty. Ukraine’s future hinges on the decisions of NATO and China, as the war continues to reshape the global order more profoundly than ever before.
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Source: Politico
