A new article by well-known analyst Michael Rubin published in National Interest (08/11/24) has sparked intense discussions, advocating for the complete decolonisation of Cyprus and the return of British bases on the island. In this context, he proposes an alternative arrangement, suggesting the “leasing” of part of these bases to the United States.
Rubin notes that the UK’s decision to return the Chagos Islands to Mauritius, except for the strategic base of Diego Garcia, is seen as a sign of reduced British influence and serves as a potential example for withdrawal from other areas. In the Eastern Mediterranean, where tensions are rising due to Turkey’s ambitions, Hezbollah’s activity, and Russia’s geopolitical moves in Syria, a strategic US presence could serve as a stabilising factor, especially in a region reminiscent of Cold War dynamics.
The author’s proposal is for the United Kingdom to hand over the Akrotiri and Dhekelia bases to the US, who could lease them from Cyprus, thereby strengthening US-Cyprus strategic relations. The base at Akrotiri could operate similarly to the US base in Bahrain, where the US operates under the sovereignty of the local government. Additionally, areas not used for military purposes could be returned.
This move could have a positive impact on the Cypriot economy, as the installation and residence of US troops would bring economic benefits through local consumption and the purchase of goods and services. Furthermore, strengthening US-Cypriot ties, underscored by the recent visit of the Cypriot President to the White House, could bring further stability and support to a volatile environment.
At the same time, decolonising Cyprus by ending the British presence on the bases could serve as a symbolic and practical step towards addressing the long-standing consequences of Turkey’s occupation of northern Cyprus. If the US were to assume control over bases in areas occupied by Turkey, it could weaken Turkish claims and open new diplomatic pathways.
This move would also send a strong message of determination to Turkey and other powers seeking influence in the region, signalling that the Eastern Mediterranean remains a strategic area of interest for the West, with the US ready to take a more active role in the region’s security and stability.
